TY - JOUR AU - Neidert, Lisa AB - POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT REVIEW 32(4): 669–698 (DECEMBER 2006) THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION IN THE UNITED STATES graphic transition will be directly linked to the further development of Western societies in a multiethnic and multicultural direction (van de Kaa 2002; Lesthaeghe and Surkyn 2006). Twenty years after its introduction, the relevance of the term “second demographic transition” may still be contested, but the manifestation of what it predicted is not: by now, every characteristic of the second demographic transition has spread to the majority of industrialized Western populations, including Mediterranean and Central European countries.1 And, judging from the latest data on extraordinary degrees of postponement of marriage and fertility in the Far East (e.g., Jones 2006; Retherford and Ogawa 2005), and from very recent information on cohabitation in Japan (Raymo and Iwasawa 2006), non-Western industrialized or industrializing populations could also be following suit. If this proves to be the case, the second demographic transition will be more than what David Coleman (2003) called a “parochial northwestern European idiosyncracy.” But is the United States an exception to all of this? The US total fertility rate rose from 1.81 births per woman in 1981 to just above replacement level in 2001. TI - The Second Demographic Transition in the United States: Exception or Textbook Example? JF - Population and Development Review DO - 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2006.00146.x DA - 2006-12-01 UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/wiley/the-second-demographic-transition-in-the-united-states-exception-or-1xoeGuvQ3Q SP - 669 VL - 32 IS - 4 DP - DeepDyve ER -