TY - JOUR AU - Nicolis, C. AB - A class of non-linear climatic models giving rise to sustained oscillations is considered. The evolution equations are cast into a “normal form” which allows one to distinguish between two different types of quantities: a radial variable, which obeys a closed equation and has strong stability properties; and a phase variable which is extremely labile. It is shown that as a result of these peculiar stability properties, the disturbances or random fluctuations acting on the system tend to deregulate the oscillatory behavior. It is concluded that such a phenomenon is a basic reason for progressive loss of predictability. TI - Self-oscillations and predictability in climate dynamics JF - Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography DO - 10.3402/tellusa.v36i1.11460 DA - 1984-01-01 UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/taylor-francis/self-oscillations-and-predictability-in-climate-dynamics-LRDSj05ioW SP - 1 EP - 10 VL - 36 IS - 1 DP - DeepDyve ER -