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Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects, and Euro Area (Im)balances

Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects, and Euro Area (Im)balances We study the macroeconomic effects of unconventional monetary policy in the euro area using structural vector autoregressions, identified with external instruments. The instruments are based on the common unexpected variation in euro area sovereign yields for different maturities on policy announcement days. We first show that expansionary monetary surprises are effective at lowering public and private interest rates and increasing economic activity, consumer prices, and inflation expectations. We then document that the shocks lead to a rise in primary public expenditures and a widening of internal trade balances. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of the European Economic Association Oxford University Press

Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects, and Euro Area (Im)balances

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References (44)

Publisher
Oxford University Press
Copyright
© The Authors 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of European Economic Association.
ISSN
1542-4766
eISSN
1542-4774
DOI
10.1093/jeea/jvy052
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

We study the macroeconomic effects of unconventional monetary policy in the euro area using structural vector autoregressions, identified with external instruments. The instruments are based on the common unexpected variation in euro area sovereign yields for different maturities on policy announcement days. We first show that expansionary monetary surprises are effective at lowering public and private interest rates and increasing economic activity, consumer prices, and inflation expectations. We then document that the shocks lead to a rise in primary public expenditures and a widening of internal trade balances.

Journal

Journal of the European Economic AssociationOxford University Press

Published: Feb 1, 2020

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