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Murphy Murphy, Winkler Winkler (1977)
Reliability of subjective probability forecasts of precipitation and temperatureApplied Statistics, 26
Tversky Tversky (1974)
Assessing UncertaintyJournal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 36
Moore Moore (1977)
The Manager's Struggles with UncertaintyJournal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 140
Winkler Winkler (1967)
The assessment of prior distributions in Bayesian analysisJournal of American Statistical Association, 62
When analysing situations which involve decisions to be made as between alternative courses of action under conditions of uncertainty, decision maker and their advisers are often called upon to assess judgemental probability distributions of quantities whose true values are unknown to them. How can this judgement be taught?
Teaching Statistics – Wiley
Published: Jan 1, 1980
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